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RE: Red Bead "simulator"



Let me echo Jonathan's remarks about the primary purpose of the red beads experiment
being sociological. I speak from personal experience. When I first saw the red bead
experiment I had just published my own book on statistical inference ("Rational Descriptions,
Decisions and Designs, Pergamon 1969). At first I thought it unnecessary and then
I began to be conscious of my own reactions to it. I found myself, at a subconscious
level, momentarily thinking deterministically, trying to guess the next color based
on the previous history of colors all the while knowing better.
The purpose , as Jonathon said, is to help people change paradigms.

Myron Tribus



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