SV: Dana Meadows and prediction

[Øgland - Petter <petter.ogland@skatteetaten.no>]

Steve Byers writes:
>This is certainly how Dr. Dana Meadows thought, as well.
>"Limits to Growth" (all three editions) is not about
>predicting anything. Perhaps there was criticism because
>many people do not understand the purpose of modeling
>systems.  The model described in "Limits to Growth" 
>certainly evolved as the modelers learned, but they never
>claimed to predict a thing.

My impression was that they were trying to model the world as best as they
could per 1972, and then show that this model indicated severe global
problems before for reached 2000 if no proper actions were taken.  To me
that sounds like prediction.

Petter Ogland