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Probability, Variation, Aim, Systems thinking, Methods, Predictio
- Subject: Probability, Variation, Aim, Systems thinking, Methods, Predictio
- From: Miller Charles L SSSD <MillerCL@SUPSHIP.NAVY.MIL>
- Date: Fri, 5 Nov 1999 09:05:40 -0800
Out of the Crisis page 1 through 2. "Some folklore", excerpt from page 2
at top, "Improvement of quality transfers waste of man-hours and of
maching-time into manufacture of good product and better service. The
result is a chain reaction---lower costs, better competitive position,
happier people on the job, jobs and more jobs."
Probability is here because of variation. Aim is here because of systems
thinking, Methods are here because of purpose. Prediction is here because
of charts.
The cultures that knew about probability and reached the interdependent
state developed methods for handling variation, aim, systems thinking,
methods, and prediction. My theory is that we all know about probability
and hence know about the rest. We get in our own way because
interdependence is so challenging.
Philosophically speaking:
I need all in order to be the best that I can be. Can I give anything
less than all?
Hence we are all and interdependent. If not interdependent then
dependent. Dependent can not be all to infinity unless we are not
interdependent but chaos. Chaos exercises probability over time and shows
interdependence with more variation. If variation is reduced we have more
interdependence. Chaos is waste because we cannot reproduce with max
quality when variation is too great. Humanity lives to reproduce. Hence
independence is waste when variation spreads to chaotic stages. Harmony???
Respectfully,
Charlie
millercl@exchange.sssd.navy.mil
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